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I had a ridiculous political post up for about 2 hours tonight but it was just too pathetic to leave so I deleted it.
I have nothing on the debate. It was painful to watch (and to hear).
My quick, no-elaboration update on the Electoral College tally: McCain 274 - 264. Yes, that's a huge slide from my prior prediction.
While I'm at it, my prediction for the ALCS, NLCS and World Series:
Red Sox over Rays in 6; Dodgers over Phillies in 6; Red Sox over Dodgers in 6.
I had a ridiculous political post up for about 2 hours tonight but it was just too pathetic to leave so I deleted it.
I have nothing on the debate. It was painful to watch (and to hear).
My quick, no-elaboration update on the Electoral College tally: McCain 274 - 264. Yes, that's a huge slide from my prior prediction.
While I'm at it, my prediction for the ALCS, NLCS and World Series:
Red Sox over Rays in 6; Dodgers over Phillies in 6; Red Sox over Dodgers in 6.
posted by Zack at 9:01 PM
8 Comments:
Which battleground states do you forsee McCain winning?
Anonymous,
I still have McCain winning FL, VA, OH and MO.
If he can steal Wisconsin, he can lose CO.
I think NM and NV are the two 5 Electoral Vote states that could make this 269 - 269.
It's all Blue to PA-MD, four states in the upper Midwest (IA, MN, WI, MI) and three or four Blues out west - that gives 274 - 264.
I'll admit that my prediction is tinged with what I want to believe.
October 9, 5:39 pm.
Thank you for the thoughtful reply and the implied hedge in your last line.
As the momentum seems to be swinging in Obama's favor, I can only think of 2 events (dramatic) that could hand this election over to the Republicans at this point.
Any thoughts, anyone, on what they might be?
Anonymous,
On August 7, 2008, I posted my first prediction for this Presidential election that included the qualifier: IF the election was between Sens. McCain and Obama.
There are three dramatic events that could hand this election to Republicans:
1. Sen. John McCain dies within the next week or so. Gov. Romney is the unanimous choice of a unified Republican Party to replace Sen. McCain. Gov. Romney wins in a landslide. The liberal extremist do not have time to mobilze their hate and intolerance against Gov. Romney's religion.
2. Sen. Barack Obama "dies" within the next two weeks. Sen. Clinton as a replacement does not get it done against Sen. McCain.
3. A substantial terrorist attack against US interests home or abroad. But Democrats sure can celebrate economic turmoil with impunity.
October 9, 7:31 pm
Yes, you got them both. Mine were your #2 and #3. I never considered your #1, only because I don't think Romney would actually win if McCain were to die.
Also, the likelihood of a terrorist attack would be quite small since I would imagine terrorists would prefer Obama as President. They won't want to do anything to rock this election.
Anonymous,
The likelihood of a terrorist attack is quite small because we have a President who gets it.
We have a Republican Presidential candidate that cannot talk about my #1 issue because he'll be attacked for "fear-mongering".
But how many innocents have to die in the next attack for a majority of us who vote to get it?
October 9, 8:23 pm
I have one alternative to #3. The proverbial "October Surprise". Namely, Bin Laden's capture. That tilts it to "national security" and the importance of staying the course.
Hardball,love your twist on #3. That would be fantastic all-around. And, it would definitely be a game-changer.
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